Sea level damage risk with probabilistic weighting of IPCC scenarios: An application to major coastal cities, Journal of Cleaner Production, vol.175, pp.582-598, 2018. ,
Quantifying the uncertainty in forecasts of anthropogenic climate change, Nature, vol.407, issue.6804, pp.617-620, 2000. ,
A route to more tractable expert advice, 2010. ,
Comparing the role of absolute sea-level rise and vertical tectonic motions in coastal flooding, Torres Islands (Vanuatu), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol.108, issue.32, pp.19-32, 2011. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00812620
An expert judgement assessment of future sea level rise from the ice sheets, Nature Climate Change, vol.3, issue.4, pp.424-427, 2013. ,
Upper and lower limits on the stability of calving glaciers from the yield strength envelope of ice, Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, vol.468, pp.913-931, 2012. ,
Sea level variations at tropical Pacific islands since 1950. Global and Planetary Change, pp.85-98, 2012. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00784541
Info-gap decision theory: Decisions under severe uncertainty, Oxford: Academic, 2006. ,
Robust optimization, 2009. ,
A review of transdisciplinary research in sustainability science, Ecological Economics, vol.92, pp.1-15, 2013. ,
Normative Theories of Rational Choice: Expected Utility, The Stanford encyclopedia of philosophy, 2017. ,
Upgrade of coastal defence structures against increased loadings caused by climate change: A first methodological approach, Coastal Engineering, vol.87, pp.112-121, 2014. ,
Evaluating emergent constraints on equilibrium climate sensitivity, Journal of Climate, vol.31, issue.10, pp.3921-3942, 2018. ,
Climate change and coastal environmental risk perceptions in Florida, Journal of Environmental Management, vol.130, pp.32-39, 2013. ,
Coastal sea level changes, observed and projected during the 20th and 21st century, Climatic Change, vol.134, issue.1-2, pp.269-281, 2016. ,
Trust, risk, and time preferences after a natural disaster: Experimental evidence from Thailand, World Development, vol.94, pp.90-105, 2017. ,
Uncertainty in forecasts of long-run economic growth, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol.115, pp.5409-5414, 2018. ,
Sea Level Change. In Climate change 2013: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, vol.13, pp.1137-1216, 2013. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01016532
Delphi: a technique to harness expert opinion for critical decision-making tasks in education, Educational Psychology, vol.17, issue.4, pp.373-386, 1997. ,
Quasi-option value and the expected value of information, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, vol.94, issue.4, pp.813-820, 1980. ,
Adaptive mesh, finite volume modeling of marine ice sheets, Journal of Computational Physics, vol.232, issue.1, pp.529-549, 2013. ,
The economic value of climate information in adaptation decisions: Learning in the sea-level rise and coastal infrastructure context, Ecological Economics, vol.150, pp.1-10, 2018. ,
How to interpret expert judgment assessments of 21st century sea-level rise, have received funding from the project INSeaPTION as part of ERA4CS, an ERA-NET initiated by JPI Climate, and funded by BMBF (DE), MINECO (ES), NWO (NL), and ANR (FR) with found at, vol.130, pp.87-100, 2015. ,
Contribution of Antarctica to past and future sea-level rise, Nature, vol.531, issue.7596, pp.591-597, 2016. ,
Investment under uncertainty, 1994. ,
Uncertainty theories: A unified view, Cybernetic Systems Conference, pp.4-9, 2007. ,
Revisiting Antarctic ice loss due to marine ice-cliff instability, Nature, vol.566, issue.7742, pp.58-64, 2019. ,
Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization, Geoscientific Model Development, vol.9, issue.5, pp.1937-1958, 2016. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01339069
Evolution of 21st century sea level rise projections, Earth's Future, vol.6, pp.1603-1615, 2018. ,
The Thames barrier, 1986. ,
The multi-millennial Antarctic commitment to future sea-level rise, Nature, vol.526, issue.7573, pp.421-425, 2015. ,
Global environmental consequences of twenty-first-century ice-sheet melt, Nature, vol.566, issue.7742, pp.65-72, 2019. ,
A new approach to projecting 21st century sea-level changes and extremes: Twenty-first century sea level, Earth's Future, vol.5, pp.240-253, 2017. ,
Cost-benefit analysis under uncertainty, The American Economic Review, vol.71, issue.4, pp.715-725, 1981. ,
Sea level rise projections for northern Europe under RCP8.5. Climate Research, vol.64, pp.15-23, 2015. ,
A method to develop sustainable water management strategies for an uncertain future, Sustainable Development, vol.19, issue.6, pp.369-381, 2011. ,
Timescales for detecting a significant acceleration in sea level rise, Nature Communications, issue.3635, p.5, 2014. ,
Robust climate policies under uncertainty: A comparison of robust decision making and info-gap methods, Risk Analysis, vol.32, issue.10, pp.1657-1672, 2012. ,
Strategies to adapt to an uncertain climate change, Global Environmental Change, vol.19, issue.2, pp.240-247, 2009. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00715561
Future flood losses in major coastal cities, Nature Climate Change, vol.3, issue.9, pp.802-806, 2013. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00857327
The effect of buttressing on grounding line dynamics, Journal of Glaciology, vol.64, issue.245, pp.417-431, 2018. ,
Reflections uncertainty and decision making in climate change economics, Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, vol.8, issue.1, pp.120-137, 2014. ,
Sea-level rise scenarios and coastal risk management, Nature Climate Change, vol.5, issue.3, pp.188-190, 2015. ,
Coastal flood damage and adaptation cost under 21st century sea-level rise, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol.111, issue.9, pp.3292-3297, 2014. ,
Managed retreat as a response to natural hazard risk, Nature Climate Change, 2017. ,
The green book-Appraisal and evaluation in central government, p.118, 2007. ,
Projecting future sea level rise: Methodology, estimates to the year 2100, and research needs, 1983. ,
Mapping sea-level change in time, space, and probability, Annual Review of Environment and Resources, vol.43, issue.1, pp.481-521, 2018. ,
Expert assessment of sea-level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300, Quaternary Science Reviews, vol.84, pp.1-6, 2014. ,
Climate change: The IPCC scientific assessment, 1990. ,
A simple technique for estimating an allowance for uncertain sea-level rise, Climatic Change, vol.113, issue.2, pp.239-252, 2012. ,
Towards a global regionally varying allowance for sea-level rise, Ocean Engineering, vol.71, pp.17-27, 2013. ,
Climate change 2013-The physical science basis, pp.1447-1466, 2013. ,
A probabilistic approach to 21st century regional sea-level projections using RCP and High-end scenarios, Global and Planetary Change, vol.146, pp.179-189, 2016. ,
Upper limit for sea level projections by 2100, Environmental Research Letters, vol.9, issue.10, 2014. ,
Trends and acceleration in global and regional sea levels since 1807, Global and Planetary Change, vol.113, pp.11-22, 2014. ,
Marine ice sheet collapse potentially under way for the Thwaites Glacier Basin, West Antarctica, Science, vol.344, issue.6185, pp.735-738, 2014. ,
The year 2000: A framework for speculation on the next thirty-three years, 1967. ,
Long-term urbanization and land subsidence in Asian megacities: An indicators system approach, pp.249-270, 2011. ,
Exploring high-end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a low-lying delta-The Netherlands as an example, Climatic Change, vol.109, issue.3-4, pp.617-645, 2011. ,
Decision sciences: An integrative perspective, 1993. ,
Evolving understanding of Antarctic ice-sheet physics and ambiguity in probabilistic sea-level projections, Earth's Future, vol.5, pp.1217-1233, 2017. ,
Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea-level projections at a global network of tide-gauge sites, vol.2, pp.383-406, 2014. ,
Risk management and climate change, Nature Climate Change, vol.3, issue.5, pp.447-450, 2013. ,
Classifying and communicating uncertainties in model-based, Policy Analysis, vol.10, issue.4, p.17, 2010. ,
Modelling present-day basal melt rates for Antarctic ice shelves using a parametrization of buoyant meltwater plumes, The Cryosphere, vol.12, issue.1, pp.49-70, 2018. ,
A high-end sea level rise probabilistic projection including rapid Antarctic ice sheet mass loss, Environmental Research Letters, vol.12, issue.4, 2017. ,
Bounding probabilistic sea-level projections within the framework of the possibility theory, Environmental Research Letters, vol.12, issue.1, 2017. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01440548
Sea level change and coastal climate services: The way forward, Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, vol.5, issue.4, 2017. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01620624
Evaluating uncertainties of future marine flooding occurrence as sea-level rises, Environmental Modeling & Software, vol.73, pp.44-56, 2015. ,
URL : https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01118683
Climate-change strategy needs to be robust, Nature, issue.6845, p.375, 2001. ,
Robust strategies for abating climate change, Climatic Change, vol.45, issue.3-4, pp.387-401, 2000. ,
Projecting Antarctic ice discharge using response functions from SeaRISE ice-sheet models, Earth System Dynamics, vol.5, issue.2, pp.271-293, 2014. ,
Regulatory capture, public interest, and the public agenda: Toward a synthesis, Economics, and Organization, vol.6, pp.167-198, 1990. ,
Uncertainty in twenty-first-century CMIP5 sea level projections, Journal of Climate, vol.28, issue.2, pp.838-852, 2015. ,
UK climate projections science report: Marine and coastal projections, 2009. ,
Time of emergence for regional sea-level change, Nature Climate Change, vol.4, issue.11, pp.1006-1010, 2014. ,
The IPCC AR5 guidance note on consistent treatment of uncertainties: A common approach across the working groups, Climatic Change, vol.108, issue.4, pp.675-691, 2011. ,
Information for Australian impact and adaptation planning in response to sea-level rise, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal, vol.65, issue.1, pp.127-149, 2015. ,
Seasonal coastal sea level prediction using a dynamical model, Geophysical Research Letters, vol.42, pp.6747-6753, 2015. ,
Robustness metrics: How are they calculated, when should they be used and why do they give different results?, Earth's Future, vol.6, pp.169-191, 2018. ,
Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation, Nature Communications, vol.7, 2016. ,
Ideals, practices, and future prospects of stakeholder involvement in sustainability science, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2017. ,
Seasonal prediction of global sea level anomalies using an oceanatmosphere dynamical model, Climate Dynamics, vol.43, issue.7, pp.2131-2145, 2014. ,
Use (and abuse) of expert elicitation in support of decision making for public policy, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, vol.111, pp.7176-7184, 2014. ,
Linking sea level rise and socioeconomic indicators under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways, Environmental Research Letters, vol.12, issue.11, p.114002, 2017. ,
Contrasting the modelled sensitivity of the Amundsen Sea Embayment ice streams, Journal of Glaciology, vol.62, issue.233, pp.552-562, 2016. ,
Sea-level scenarios for evaluating coastal impacts, WIREs Climate Change, vol.5, issue.1, pp.129-150, 2014. ,
Zur Preisbildungen bei ungewissen Erwartungen, Schweizerische Zeitschrift fur Volkswirtschaft und Statistik, vol.84, pp.433-456, 1948. ,
Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) contribution to CMIP6, Geoscientific Model Development, vol.9, issue.12, pp.4521-4545, 2016. ,
, Responding to changes in sea level: Engineering implications, NRC, 1987.
How high will the seas rise?, Science, vol.354, issue.6318, pp.1375-1377, 2016. ,
Expert judgment in risk analysis and management: Process, context, and pitfalls, Risk Analysis, vol.12, issue.1, pp.83-93, 1992. ,
Kinematic constraints on glacier contributions to 21st-century sea-level rise, Nature Communications, vol.321, issue.1, pp.1340-1343, 2008. ,
Risk aversion in the small and in the large, Econometrica, vol.32, issue.1/2, pp.122-136, 1964. ,
Addressing "deep" uncertainty over long-term climate in major infrastructure projects: Four innovations of the Thames Estuary 2100 Project, EURO Journal on Decision Processes, vol.1, pp.233-262, 2013. ,
Stakeholder participation for environmental management: A literature review, Biological Conservation, issue.10, pp.2417-2431, 2008. ,
Antarctic sub-shelf melt rates via PICO, The Cryosphere Discussions, pp.1-24, 2017. ,
Widespread, rapid grounding line retreat of Pine Island, Geophysical Research Letters, vol.41, pp.3502-3509, 1992. ,
Potential sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet instability constrained by observations, 2015. ,
Coastal sea level rise with warming above 2°C, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2016. ,
Comparison of robust optimization and info-gap methods for water resource management under deep uncertainty, Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, vol.142, issue.9, 2016. ,
On the drivers and predictability of seasonalto-interannual variations in regional sea level, Journal of Climate, vol.29, issue.21, pp.7565-7585, 2016. ,
High rates of sea-level rise during the last interglacial period, Nature Geoscience, vol.1, pp.38-42, 2008. ,
General guidance for cost-benefit analysis, Den Haag: Centraal Planbureau, 2013. ,
The theory of statistical decision, Journal of the American Statistical Association, vol.46, issue.253, pp.55-67, 1951. ,
What is "dangerous" climate change?, Nature, vol.411, issue.6833, pp.17-19, 2001. ,
Decision analysis for management of natural hazards, Annual Review of Environment and Resources, vol.41, issue.1, pp.489-516, 2016. ,
Keep it complex, Nature, vol.468, issue.7327, pp.1029-1031, 2010. ,
A new alternative to saving our beaches from sea-level rise: The sand engine, Journal of Coastal Research, vol.290, pp.1001-1008, 2013. ,
Origins and estimates of uncertainty in predictions of twenty-first century temperature rise, Nature, issue.6882, pp.723-726, 2002. ,
Sinking deltas due to human activities, Nature Geoscience, vol.2, issue.10, pp.681-686, 2009. ,
High risk of unprecedented UK rainfall in the current climate, Nature Communications, vol.8, issue.1, 2017. ,
More than information: What coastal managers need to plan for climate change, Environmental Science & Policy, vol.11, issue.4, pp.315-328, 2008. ,
Judgment under uncertainty: Heuristics and biases, Science, vol.185, issue.4157, pp.1124-1131, 1974. ,
Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty, Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, vol.5, issue.4, pp.297-323, 1992. ,
Sea-Level Change Considerations For Civil Works Programs (No. 1165-2-212), 2011. ,
Uncertainty representations of mean sea-level change: A telephone game? Climatic Change, 2019. ,
Improving the contribution of climate model information to decision making: the value and demands of robust decision frameworks, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, vol.4, issue.1, pp.39-60, 2013. ,
Multimodel ensemble sea level forecasts for tropical Pacific islands, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol.56, issue.4, pp.849-862, 2017. ,
Keeping nuclear and other coastal sites safe from climate change, Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers: Civil Engineering, vol.164, issue.3, pp.129-136, 2011. ,
Climate change 2014: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Part A: Global and sectoral aspects. Contribution of Working Group, pp.361-409, 2014. ,
Real options in flood risk management decision making: Real options in flood risk management, Journal of Flood Risk Management, vol.4, issue.4, pp.339-349, 2011. ,
Adaptive flood risk management under climate change uncertainty using real options and optimization: Adaptive flood risk management, Risk Analysis, vol.34, issue.1, pp.75-92, 2014. ,
Towards a global higher-frequency sea level dataset, Geoscience Data Journal, vol.3, issue.2, pp.50-59, 2016. ,
Vertical land motion as a key to understanding sea level change and variability, Reviews of Geophysics, vol.54, pp.64-92, 2016. ,