Participatory decision making for operational earthquake forecasting and earthquake early warning

Thomas Le Guenan (1) , Samuel Auclair (1) , John Douglas (1) , Annick Loschetter (1) , Farid Smaï (1) , Nicolas Taillefer (1)

1 BRGM - Bureau de Recherches Géologiques et Minières (BRGM)

Practical implementations of operational earthquake forecasting (OEF) and earthquake early warning (EEW) require a decision (or many decisions) to be made in order to mitigate risk. For example, for OEF a decision may be made to remove hazardous material from an industrial site during a period of heightened seismic hazard to reduce the chance of a chemical spill in case of an earthquake. In the context of EEW, a gas network may be automatically shut down to decrease the risk of fire following an earthquake...

Mots clés: earthquake risk; operational earthquake forecasting; earthquake early warning; decision-making

Domaines: Géophysique [physics.geo-ph]; Géophysique [physics.geo-ph]; Milieux et Changements globaux

Thomas Le Guenan, Samuel Auclair, John Douglas, Annick Loschetter, Farid Smaï, et al.. Participatory decision making for operational earthquake forecasting and earthquake early warning. Second European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (2ECEES) : a joint event of the 15th European Conference on Earthquake engineering & 34th General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission, Aug 2014, Istanbul, Turkey. ⟨hal-00968825⟩